Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.111216 0.120697 0.130843 0.142548 0.155727 0.170162 0.187246
2024-10-06 0.097783 0.111170 0.126449 0.145341 0.168296 0.195577 0.230905
2024-10-13 0.085502 0.100217 0.117748 0.140480 0.169634 0.206427 0.257473
2024-10-20 0.076532 0.091772 0.110529 0.135760 0.169534 0.214291 0.280094
2024-10-27 0.069830 0.085301 0.104854 0.131975 0.169623 0.221678 0.302284
2024-11-03 0.067880 0.084581 0.106301 0.137459 0.182507 0.247892 0.355513
2024-11-10 0.066675 0.084635 0.108633 0.144186 0.197676 0.279185 0.422078
2024-11-17 0.063591 0.081865 0.106793 0.144659 0.203446 0.296612 0.468719
2024-11-24 0.060106 0.078274 0.103482 0.142579 0.204906 0.307067 0.504687
2024-12-01 0.056710 0.074582 0.099744 0.139480 0.204317 0.313830 0.534757
2024-12-08 0.053244 0.070586 0.095296 0.134904 0.200797 0.314954 0.553724
2024-12-15 0.051119 0.068406 0.093382 0.134125 0.203491 0.327403 0.598376
2024-12-22 0.049066 0.066355 0.091734 0.133979 0.207854 0.344678 0.660434
2024-12-29 0.047667 0.065215 0.091430 0.136056 0.216498 0.371820 0.753890
2025-01-05 0.044870 0.061815 0.087394 0.131534 0.212588 0.373197 0.784678
2025-01-12 0.042350 0.058709 0.083642 0.127205 0.208579 0.373769 0.813715
2025-01-19 0.040214 0.056093 0.080523 0.123737 0.205857 0.376693 0.850264
2025-01-26 0.039992 0.056427 0.082162 0.128757 0.220245 0.419848 1.019281
2025-02-02 0.039974 0.057071 0.084332 0.134906 0.237719 0.473938 1.250720
2025-02-09 0.038885 0.055942 0.083462 0.135338 0.243266 0.500115 1.400601
2025-02-16 0.037456 0.054196 0.081445 0.133438 0.243541 0.512828 1.506512
2025-02-23 0.035959 0.052275 0.079033 0.130605 0.241455 0.518934 1.589438
2025-03-02 0.034323 0.050067 0.076024 0.126419 0.235918 0.514737 1.626880